Bernie Sanders won the West Virginia primary by a 51% to 36%
margin over Hillary Clinton, a 15-point gap that beat our expectation of an
8-point Sanders win. For his efforts, Sanders
picked up 18 delegates to Clinton’s 11, to narrow Clinton’s unpledged
delegate margin from 290 to 283. If he continues
to pick up a net +7 delegates for every 29 contested delegates in each and every
upcoming primary, he will catch Hillary in South Carolina on February 29, 2020.
You may be wondering about the other 13% in West Virginia
(or you may not be). That is, if Bernie
beat Hillary by a 51% to 36% margin, who received the rest of the votes? It turns out a Huntington, WV lawyer named
Paul Farrell, Jr. who decided to run for President this year -- “there is nobody on the presidential ballot
I want to vote for…I’m a better choice than ‘none of the above’ ” -- managed to snag a healthy 9% of the vote.
He easily whipped Martin O’Malley (who you may remember), not to mention
Rocky De La Fuente (a San Diego businessman) and Keith Judd (wait for it), the
trio who split the remaining four percent of the vote.

Needless to say, we at BTRTN did not envision the Farrell/Judd/De
La Fuente troika making a dent (nor O’Malley for that matter) in the voting, so
we were a bit off in our percentages.
Having said that, we did accurately forecast the Sanders win, making us
25 out of 29 in Democratic primaries. We
remain 11 out of 14 in caucuses and thus 36 out of 43 overall on the Democratic
side.
West
Virginia
|
BTRTN
Prediction
|
Actual
|
Sanders
|
54
|
51
|
Clinton
|
46
|
36
|
Farrell
|
0
|
9
|
O'Malley
|
0
|
2
|
Judd
|
0
|
2
|
De
La Fuente
|
0
|
0.4
|
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